Himachal
hills question myth of invincibility of Modi phenomenon
Ground Zero
Jagtar Singh
Gujarat and
Himachal Pradesh present two different scenarios at every level, from hills to
arid lands of Rann and contrasting political narratives.
Gujarat, the
home state of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is laboratory of Hindutva.
A major
region of Himachal Pradesh has been part of Punjab from the times of the Sikh
Empire under Maharaja Ranjit Singh till 1966.
Gujarat at
one level symbolises commerce. Economy of the hill state is entirely different.
As one of
the main players in these two elections has been the Aam Aadmi Party, it is
pertinent to bring in Punjab too. The religio-political dynamics of Punjab is
different from the rest of India and this factor must be taken into account in
the context of performance of AAP.
The Hindutva
narrative failed to enthuse the people in the hill state to vote the BJP to
second successive term, despite aggressive campaigning in the name of Mr Modi.
Dominating
the narrative were the local factors and in the context of nature of
demography, the politics of polarisation has little role to play.
AAP entered
the hill state with a bang but soon the leadership diverted money and human
resources to Gujarat. The entire might of AAP in Punjab where it is the ruling
party with a massive mandate was pushed in Gujarat where AAP MLAs from this
state were also seen performing Garba dance and frying pakoras.
AAP lost
even security deposit in all the seats it contested in Himachal Pradesh.
As the
people had made upon their mind to vote against the Hindutva linked BJP but not
for ideological reasons, the soft Hindu approach of the AAP could not make any
impact unlike in Gujarat.
However, one
of the important factors was complete absence of Rahul Gandhi from the Congress
campaign. Even his sister Priyanka Gandhi addressed only a couple of rallies.
The absence
of Rahul Gandhi meant that there was no direct attack on Mr. Modi. It may be
mentioned here that the Prime Minister has taken advantage of every barb
directed at him by the Congress leaders at the top. The anti-Modi narrative was
missing from the Congress campaign and this seems to have saved a few seats for
this party.
It is learnt
that Priyanka Gandhi too was softly advised against targeting Modi and rather
project positive campaign.
This
strategy paid off and the Congress under local leaders succeeded in replacing
the BJP at the steering wheel.
It is this
strategy that can help the Congress to revive itself in other regions too.
The Congress
would have to shed deadwood at every level and rope in positive agenda and
people with aggressively positive attitude. The total approach has to change.
The way
Gujarat is template for Hindutva politics, Himachal Pradesh signals hope for
the degenerated Congress and the narrative to counter the Modu juggernaut. Mr.
Gandhi should be continue to focus on Bharat Jodo till 2024, the campaign that
is being appreciated at every level.
The role of
the AAP in Gujarat has been interesting going by the vote share of three main
contestants. The BJP has been the gainer at every level, both in number of
seats and vote share. The main loser is the Congress. The vote share of AAP is
the same as the loss of the Congress.
The Hindu
approach of AAP has rather reinforced the Hindu mobilisation and the net gainer
had to be the BJP. Suggesting use of pictures of Hindu deities on currency
notes was the move by AAP convener Arvind Kejriwal designed to appeal to the
Hindu vote bank. But then it is Hindutva that is more appealing under such a
situation.
Can the same
political model of secular strategy be replicated for the entire country? The
answer has been provided by Himachal Pradesh.
It may not
be overlooked that AAP got unprecedent mandate in Punjab in February 2022 as
people were angry with both the Congress and the Akali Dal. The people taught a
lesson to AAP within four months in Sangrur Lok Sabha byelection by electing
Simranjit Singh Mann from Akali Dal (Amritsar). Punjab is different in this
context.
At one
level, result of Himachal Pradesh is more important in the context of national
narrative.
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